MEN’S PREMIERSHIP: WHERE COULD EACH TEAM FINISH?

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Illawarra Mercury Premier League

Wollongong United (v Coniston @ Macedonia Park)

Current position: 1st, 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, +11, 23 points

Highest possible position: 1st

Lowest possible position: 2nd

The only scenario where Wollongong United would not finish with the league championship is if they lose to Coniston, Woonona beat South Coast United and there was a three-goal swing in the Sharks’ favour.

Woonona (v South Coast United @ Ocean Park)

Current position: 2nd, 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, +8, 20 points

Highest possible position: 1st

Lowest possible position: 3rd

For Woonona to take out the league championship, they would need to win against South Coast United, have Coniston beat Wollongong United and there be a three-goal swing in their favour.

The Sharks would fall to third if they drop points and Bulli beat Albion Park. Woonona would also finish third on goal differential if they lose and Bulli draw.

Bulli (v Albion Park White Eagles @ Terry Reserve)

Current position: 3rd, 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, +12, 19 points

High possible position: 2nd

Lowest possible position: 4th

Bulli would finish second if they defeat Albion Park and Woonona fail to beat South Coast United. Bulli would also finish above their local rivals if they draw and Woonona loses.

Bulli would slip to fourth if they lose to the White Eagles by four or more goals.

Albion Park White Eagles (v Bulli @ Terry Reserve)

Current position: 4th, 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats, +4, 16 points

Highest possible position: 3rd

Lowest possible position: 7th

Albion Park would finish third if they beat Bulli by four or more goals. 

If the White Eagles lose, Tarrawanna and Wollongong Olympic draw and Bellambi beat Corrimal, they would drop to seventh.

The only result which guarantees Albion Park finish in the top five is a win.

Wollongong Olympic (v Tarrawanna @ Tarrawanna Oval)

Current position: 5th, 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses, +3, 16 points

High possible position: 3rd

Lowest possible position: 7th

Wollongong Olympic would finish third if they beat Tarrawanna and Albion Park beat Bulli, however, they would need to overcome a nine-goal differential with Bulli.

Olympic would finish seventh if they lost to Tarrawanna and Bellambi beat Corrimal.

Olympic would remain fifth with a draw, except if the Rosellas get three points against the Rangers.

Tarrawanna (v Wollongong Olympic @ Tarrawanna Oval)

Current position: 6th, 4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, +6, 15 points

Highest possible position: 4th

Lowest possible position: 7th

Tarrawanna would finish fourth if they defeat Wollongong Olympic and Albion Park lose to Bulli. 

The Blueys would finish fifth if they draw with Olympic and Albion Park lose to Bulli.

Tarrawanna would drop to seventh with a defeat if Bellambi beat Corrimal.

Bellambi (v Corrimal @ Memorial Park)

Current position: 7th, 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, +2, 14 points

Highest possible finish: 4th

Lowest possible finish: 8th

Bellambi would finish fourth if they win against Corrimal, Albion Park lose against Bulli and Wollongong Olympic and Tarrawanna play out a draw. 

Bellambi would take fifth spot if they were to win and either Albion Park lose or Olympic lose or draw.

If Bellambi loses and Cringila beat Port Kembla with a six-goal swing against the Rosellas, they would finish eighth.

Cringila (v Port Kembla @ Wetherall Park)

Current position: 2 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats, -4, 11 points

Highest possible position: 7th

Lowest possible position: 9th

Cringila would finish seventh if they win against Port Kembla, Bellambi loses to Corrimal and there is a six-goal swing in their favour.

Cringila would drop to ninth if they fail to win and the Rangers win against Bellambi. The Lions would also run ninth if they lose and Corrimal draw.

Corrimal (v Bellambi @ Memorial Park)

Current position: 2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, 0, 10 points

Highest possible finish: 8th

Lowest possible finish: 10th

Corrimal would finish eighth with a win or draw against Bellambi if Crinigla loses to Port Kembla. The Rangers would need just a point to finish eighth if Cringila loses.

Corrimal would finish 10th if they lose to Bellambi and Coniston beat Wollongong United. If Corrimal draw, Coniston win and there is an eight-goal swing against the Rangers, they would also finish 10th.

Coniston (v Wollongong United @ Macedonia Park)

Current position: 10th, 1 win, 5 draws, 4 losses, -8, 8 points

Highest possible position: 9th

Lowest possible position: 11th

Coniston would finish ninth with a win against Wollongong United if Corrimal also loses to Bellambi. If Corrimal draw, Coniston would need to win and have an eight-goal swing in their favour.

Coniston would drop to 11th with a defeat to United if Port Kembla beat Cringila.

Port Kembla (v Cringila @ Wetherall Park)

Current position: 11th, 2 wins, 0 draws, 8 losses, -21, 6 points

Highest possible position: 10th

Lowest possible position: 12th

Port Kembla would finish 10th with a win against Cringila as long as Coniston also lose against Wollongong United.

Port would finish last if they fail to beat Cringila and South Coast United win against Woonona.

South Coast United (v Woonona @ Ocean Park)

Current position: 12th, 1 win, 1 draw, 8 losses, -13, 4 points

Highest possible position: 11th

Lowest possible position 12th

South Coast United would finish 11th if they beat Woonona and Port Kembla fail to beat Cringila.

South Coast will finish with the wooden spoon in any other scenario.

Peoplecare District League

Oak Flats (v Thirroul @ Thomas Gibson Park)

Current position: 1st, 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 losses, +15, 25 points

Highest possible position: 1st

Lowest possible position: 2nd

Oak Flats would finish league champions with a win against Thirroul or with any result if Unanderra lost to Fernhill.

The Falcons would finish second with a draw if Undanderra win or if they lose and the Hearts draw.

Unanderra (v Fernhill @ Ray Robinson Field)

Current position: 2nd, 8 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, +27, 24 points

Highest possible position: 1st

Lowest possible position: 2nd

Unanderra would pip Oak Flats for the league championship if they beat Fernhill and the Falcons fail to win against Thirroul. If Oak Flats lose, a draw would see the Hearts finish first.

Unanderra finish second in any other scenario.

Picton (v Belagownie @ Hume Oval)

Current position: 3rd, 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, +12, 20 points

Highest possible position: 3rd

Lowest possible position: 3rd

Picton will finish third regardless of their result against Balgownie.

Helensburgh (v Shell Cove @ Barrack Heights Sporting Field)

Current position: 4th, 5 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses, +7, 16 points

Highest possible position: 4th

Lowest possible position: 7th

Helensburgh would finish fourth with a win against Shell Cove. The Thistle would also hold on to fourth with a draw, so long as University fail to beat Kiama and Fernhill fail to beat Unanderra by 12 goals or more.

Helensburgh would finish fifth if they lose to Shell Cove and University and Fernhill don’t win their respective matches.

The Thistle would drop to seventh with a defeat if University win and Fernhill win, as well as there being a 12-goal swing in the Foxes’ favour.

Shell Cove (v Helensburgh @ Barrack Heights Sporting Field) 

Current position: 5th, 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses, +2, 16 points

Highest possible finish: 4th

Lowest possible finish: 7th

Shell Cove would finish fourth with a win against Helensburgh as long as University don’t beat Kiama and overturn the current six-goal difference between the sides.

Shell Cove could finish fifth regardless of their result. If they win, but University also win by six or more goals the Cove would finish fifth. If Shell Cove draw they would remain fifth if Uni and the Foxes fail to win. If Shell Cove lose, University lose and Fernhill don’t win, they also remain fifth as long as there isn’t a six-goals wing in favour of the Students.

Shell Cove would finish seventh with a defeat if Uni and Fernhill win, however, the Foxes would also have to overturn the six-goal differential.

University (v Kiama @ Kiama Sporting Complex)

Current position: 6th, 5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, -4, 16 points

Highest possible position: 4th

Lowest possible position: 7th

University would finish fourth if they beat Kiama and Helensburgh and Shell Cove play out a draw. They would also finish fifth if they win and make up the goal differential between the winner of Helensburgh (11 goals) and Shell Cove (six goals). 

Uni would run fifth with a draw as long as Helensburgh and Shell Cove doesn’t finish in a draw and Fernhill doesn’t win against Unanderra. They would also finish fifth with a win if Helensburgh and Shell Cove doesn’t finish in a draw.

The Students would finish seventh if they lose and Fernhill win.

Fernhill (v Unanderra @ Ray Robinson Field)

Current position: 7th, 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, -4, 14 points

Highest possible position: 4th

Lowest possible position: 8th

Fernhill would finish fourth with a win if University don’t win, Helensburgh and Shell Cove play out a draw and they overturn the goal difference with Helensburgh (11 goals) and Shell Cove (six goals). 

For Fernhill to finish fifth, they would need to win and have two of Helensburgh, Shell Cove and University lose. The Foxes would also finish fifth with a win if two of the aforementioned three draw, however, they would need to make up the goal difference with the Thistle and Shell Cove.

The Foxes would finish eighth if they lose and Kiama beat University.

Kiama (v University @ Kiama Sporting Complex

Current position: 8th, 4 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses, -5, 12 points

Highest possible position: 7th

Lowest possible position: 8th

The only scenario where Kiama would not finish eighth is where they beat University and Fernhill lose to Unanderra.

Thirroul (v Oak Flats @ Thomas Gibson Park)

Current position: 9th, 1 win, 5 draws, 4 losses, -7, 8 points

Highest possible position: 9th

Lowest possible position: 11th

Thirroul would drop to 10th if they lose to Oak Flats and Berkeley draw against Warilla or if Thirroul draw and Berkeley win. 

If the initial scenario above occurs, and Balgownie beat Picton, the Thunder would finish 11th.

Berkeley (v Warilla @ King Mickey Park)

Current position: 10th, 2 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses, -13, 8 points

Highest possible position: 9th

Lowest possible position: 11th

Berkeley would finish ninth if they are able to better Thirroul’s result. 

Berkeley would finish 11th if they lose and Balgownie win or if they draw and Balgownie win.

Balgownie (v Picton @ Hume Oval)

Current position: 11th, 1 win, 3 draws, 6 losses, -10, 6 points

Highest possible position: 9th

Lowest possible position: 12

Balgownie would move up to ninth if they win against Picton and Berkeley and Thirroul lose to Warilla and Oak Flats respectively. The Rangers would also finish ninth if they win and Berkeley and Thirroul drew their matches, though they would need to overcome a three-goal differential with the Thunder.

Balgownie would finish last if they lose and Warilla win or if Balgownie draw and the Wanderers win and overcome a 10-goal differential.

Warilla (v Berkeley home)

Current position: 12th, 1 win, 1 draw, 8 losses, -20, 4 points

Highest possible position: 11th

Lowest possible position: 12th

There are two scenarios where Warilla avoid the wooden spoon. The first is Warilla beating Berkeley and Balgownie losing to Picton and the second is Warilla winning, Balgownie drawing and there being a 10-goal swing in the Wanderers’ favour.

Article by Dylan Arvela, on Twitter @dylanarvela

Photo by Graham Brown

 

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